Did We Just Hit Peak Auto? – New DMV Stats Show Fewer Registered Vehicles in SF for the First Time Since 2011 – But Licensed Drivers in SF are Up

Here’s your background, from a year ago.

And here are your stats for 2016:

est_fees_pd_by_county2016

And here are your stats for 2017, released just today:

est_fees_pd_by_county2017

So that’s about a half a percentage decrease for registered AUTOS as well as all registered VEHICLES from 2016 to 2017.

And here are your licensed driver numbers for San Francisco County for the past five years, also just released:

dl_outs_by_county

That’s about a 1% increase, year over year.

So there you have it – instead of a relatively steady increase averaging¬†7000 or so automobiles per year, we’ve just had a decrease of about 1900 autos,¬†for whatever reason.

Perhaps 2016 will end up being Peak Auto for San Francisco – we’ll see.

car reg

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3 Responses to “Did We Just Hit Peak Auto? – New DMV Stats Show Fewer Registered Vehicles in SF for the First Time Since 2011 – But Licensed Drivers in SF are Up”

  1. Humphrey says:

    That’s really interesting. I live in one of the few areas of the city where it isn’t insanely hard to park. As a result, we are sort of an overflow for the surrounding area – over the last 5 years there was a real intense increase in vehicles as (I assume) tech nomads crammed into single family homes and so the vehicles would end up on our block. Around the last half of last year I started to notice a real significant decline in vehicles. Then came the articles about an outflow of people from SF. But I think it’s both in this case (small general decline in population and small decline in vehicle ownership).

  2. Humphrey says:

    Actually a decrease of 3000 autos, btw, no?

  3. WhipLash Billy says:

    Licensed, but inexperienced drivers’ numbers are up?
    Perhaps Uber/Lyfts are registering automatons?

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