Posts Tagged ‘rcv’

Post-Election Recap at USF from David Latterman and Alex Clemens a Huge Success – See the Data

Tuesday, November 15th, 2011

If you want some deets on our recent election, you just might find them right here.

Yesterday’s PowerPoint presentation at USF, featuring Alex Clemens on RCV (and RCV on Alex Clemens):

Get all the deets here and here.

And AC is not done yet. From the City Democratic Club:

“Friends:

The election results are in! Are you not quite sure what happened? Plain confused? Or just can’t get enough? Join the City Democratic Club tomorrow, November 17 @ 6pm for our November meeting, where we will get an election recap and analysis from political veteran and founder of SF Usual Suspects Alex Clemens.

What: City Democratic Club November Meeting and Election Recap w/Alex Clemens

When: Thursday, November 17 @ 6:00pm

Where: Marines’ Memorial Club, Regimental Room, 10th Floor (609 Sutter Street @ Mason Street). Please join us for cocktails before and after the meeting at the Flying Leatherneck Lounge, located on the 12th floor. Join us for some great food and drinks with spectacular views of the City!

The Marines’ Memorial Club is served by the 2 Clement, 3 Jackson, 30-Stockton, 38 Geary, and 45 Union-Stockton. Discount parking ($5/hour with validation) is also available at the Olympic Club (665 Sutter Street).

We look forward to seeing you next week! If you have any questions, please contactcitydemclub@aol.com.

Regards,

City Democratic Club

About Alex Clemens
Alex Clemens is a well-seasoned communications advisor, political operative, and advocate. He has served five tours of duty working for politicians in San Francisco and Washington, D.C., worked as a community organizer in San Francisco’s SOMA district, developed philanthropic plans for an innovative high-tech company, taught pre-kindergarten in a San Francisco public school, and been licensed as a private investigator in the state of California. He has experience working in private industry, government service, the non-profit sector, political campaigns, and as a communications and strategy consultant.
Alex founded Barbary Coast Consulting in 2003, and has spent a great deal of his time since then attempting to recruit smarter, harder-working and more creative colleagues to Barbary Coast. In addition to his work at Barbary Coast, he serves as an adjunct professor at the Leo McCarthy Center for Public Service and the Common Good at the University of San Francisco, instructing students in the Master in Public Affairs program – and he serves as a board member at the Coro Center for Civic Leadership.

Alex is regularly quoted in the San Francisco Chronicle and Examiner, the New York Times, the Los Angeles Times, and local television stations on matters regarding San Francisco politics. In 1995, he created the Usual Suspects website, a daily roundup of San Francisco political news. He is a regular speaker on politics and current events at SPUR, Leadership San Francisco, the Chamber of Commerce, Coro, the USF lunch series, and other local civic and political organizations.

OMG, San Francisco Post-Election Recap at USF Today! See David Latterman and Alex Clemens at 12:30 PM

Monday, November 14th, 2011

That’s right, the David Latterman / Alex Clemens electoral dog-and–pony show is heading up Ignatius Heights today to tell you what just happened.

And then you’ll be able to figure out What Happens Next.

San Francisco Post-Election Recap

Monday, November 14, 12:30 PM to 1:30 PM
Fromm Center, Berman Hall
USF Main Campus (map)

Interested in what happened in the San Francisco elections? Come hear the McCarthy Center’s David Latterman and Barbary Coast Consulting’s Alex Clemens discuss What Just Happened in San Francisco’s always-exciting and often-bizarre election cycle. Latterman and Clemens use data, maps, and humor to discuss who won, who lost, what it all means, and what’s on tap for next year.

Latterman, in addition to running the McCarthy Center’s MoPA Graduate Program, is a political consultant and well-known pundit, and was actively involved in the 2011 election cycle. Clemens, an Adjunct Faculty member with the McCarthy Center, runs the beloved political website “The Usual Suspects” and knows just about everything there is to know about San Francisco politics. This talk is FREE to faculty, students, and the general public.

Ci vediamo all’Universita!

San Francisco Election 2011 Recap: KQED Forum with Corey Cook, Willie Brown + Alex Clemens, David Latterman at SPUR

Wednesday, November 9th, 2011

9:05 AM - Listen Live:

“Who won, who lost and how did the ballot measures fare? Guest host Scott Shafer takes a look at results in Bay Area elections including analysis of ranked-choice voting and the political clout of Asian-Americans.

Host: Scott Shafer

Guests:

  • Corey Cook, assistant professor of politics and director of the Leo McCarthy Center for Public Service and the Common Good at the University of San Francisco
  • David Lee, executive director of the Chinese American Voters Education Committee (CAVEC)
  • Willie Brown, former mayor of San Francisco
  • Corey Marshall, good government policy director for San Francisco Planning and Urban Research
  • Omar Khalif, parent and co-chair of Families for Neighborhood Schools, which supports Measure H
  • Steven Hill, designer and supporter of the ranked-choice voting systems in San Francisco and Oakland and author of “10 Steps to Repair American Democracy”
 
-
Plus this:

12:30 PM – Attend in Person at 654 Mission Street – $10:

“The November 2011 election promises to be one of the most exciting in recent memory. What will the election results mean for San Francisco, and who will be our next mayor? In one of SPUR’s best-loved traditions, join political analysts Alex Clemens and David Latterman for our post-election recap.”

Wow, Bevan Dufty Goes After The Bay Citizen, Bevan Dufty Attempts to Defend the Central Subway and Rose Pak

Tuesday, November 1st, 2011

[UPDATE: Transit buff murphstahoe has this reaction:

"@BevanDufty calls Central Subway a "very strong connection to Caltrain" - wrong! http://t.co/32xzseD8 #sfmayor"]

First up is a conversation with Seán Martinfield, Editor and Publisher of the San Francisco Sentinel.

Excerpts:

“I feel confident I am as viable as anyone else in this race.”

Disagree, respectfully. An incumbent Mayor losing is like a once-every-couple-decades kind of thing, right? Incumbents have huge built-in advantages, of course.

“I definitely feel The Bay Citizen has marginalized me and that they have reported I’m a second-tier candidate within the LGBT community – when, if you look at the details of the poll, I doubt they’ve even sampled thirty-five LGBT voters in their sample.”

It’s not TBC’s job to spin for any particular candidate, is it?

“And so, you have The Bay Citizen which is an insert newspaper for the New York Times…”

Is that an insult? Is it meant to be? I can’t tell. But I can tell you that one look at its payroll will reveal that it’s a major bay area media entity.

“…and they threw a poll. An initiative like that is about marginalizing me. It’s about telling people that I can’t win.”

Wow. The whole exercise with USF and spending $10k on independent polling was about marginalizing Bevan Dufty? Really? (Maybe I’m not reading this right.)

The Bay Citizen called me “a Zombie” and didn’t even spell my name right in the story.

Zombie candidate,” IIRC. Some people (such as myself, for one) have issues with how RCV and public financing relate to each other under the current rules, of course.

Next up is this bit from Jerrold Chinn at SF Public Press. You can fire it up at 2:45 or so.

“Do you support the Central Subway? Why or why not?”

For the record, here’s the damning Grand Jury report.

Per the video, Bevan thinks that people don’t have any idea that Rose Pak was the first Chinese American reporter at the San Francisco Chronicle? I think they do and I’m not sure how this bears on the CS. (You know, some people want to take steps to improve the 30 Stockton corridor like right now, instead of after a decade of delays and cost overruns. Is that racist to want to improve things now? How is it that “transit justice” can only be satisfied by the current horrible, horribly expensive, Bridge-to-Nowhere Central Subway scheme? I’m baffled.)

Bevan says that “90% of the Central Subway will be paid by the federal government?” This seems impossible to me. Is this in writing? Does it include past and future overruns?

Bevan says that the CS has to come before any other major project, such as putting rails in on Geary. But he doesn’t say why.

Bevan says that we would lose in excess of $100,000,000 if we pull the plug now. I thought it was closer to $200,000,000 myself but of course bad transit decisions cost money. The question is what should we do at this point. (I think we’d all be better off taking a new tack by simply paying back the Feds.)

I don’t know, if anybody wants to go line-by-line on today’s updated critique from Save MUNI, be my guest. (To be honest, I don’t know how anybody can defend the station placement decisions, the car-length decision, the let’s stop at southern Chinatown decision, among others. The CS is a politics-first, transit-last project, IMO.

(And oh, BTW, there’s a pool going on right now around town about what position Bevan will be appointed to and when. FYI.)

O.K, enjoy, after the jump

(more…)

Know Your Electoral Bromides: “History Has Shown That Wookies Always Stand With The People” – David Hearts Leland

Monday, October 31st, 2011

Per Senator Leland Yee:

History has shown that Wookies always stand with the people, even for #SFMayor!…Thanks @ChiubaccaSF and @DavidChiu

Indeed:

Click to expand

Game theory would have Dennis Herrera inside that Chewie suit…

Wow: Complete Poll Results for the Mayor’s Race from The Bay Citizen and USF – A Ranked Choice Voting Simulator

Monday, October 17th, 2011

[UPDATE: Luke Thomas of Fog City Journal offers a listing of reactions from many mayoral campaigns.]

[UPDATE II: Feisty TBC Editor-in-Chief Steve Fainaru promises there's more to come:

"We are analyzing and pumping out this information as fast as we can. The package you see today — including San Francisco’s most sophisticated ranked-choice voting simulator, masterminded by news applications developer Shane Shifflett and lead software engineer Aurelio Tinio — was completed around 2 a.m. Monday; it was up on our website at 4 a.m. Next we will bring you information about the controversial pension reform initiatives and the races for district attorney and sheriff. Finally, we will put up the full data set, so people can take their own look and draw their own conclusions."]

Well, here they are, the results of the big The Bay Citizen / University of San Francisco poll on who will be Mayor of San Francisco for the next four years.

See?

Click to expand

The Bay Citizen political writer Gerry Shih* has the deets.

Writing history as it happens:

“When the Board of Supervisors named Lee interim mayor in January, after former Mayor Gavin Newsom was elected lieutenant governor, Lee promised not to run for a full term. But after two of his biggest political supporters — Rose Pak, the powerful Chinatown lobbyist, and former Mayor Willie Brown — led an effort to draft him into the race, Lee changed his mind.”

[I should note that infamous Rose Pak, for some reason, operates as an unregistered lobbyist, apparently, AFAIK.]

Are you surprised by any of these results? I’m not.

But what’s nice about this independent exercise is that it shows you how RCV “works.”

Oh, and don’t miss the breakdown for gay and Chinese-American voters.

Anyway:

“Exclusive Bay Citizen/USF Poll: Ed Lee Dominating San Francisco Mayor’s Race

SAN FRANCISCO, Oct. 17, 2011  – An exclusive poll conducted by The Bay Citizen and the University of San Francisco (USF) Leo T. McCarthy Center for Public Service and the Common Good shows interim mayor Ed Lee poised to win the November 8 mayor’s race handily. The poll shows Lee with broad support across the city, particularly among Chinese voters.

Lee won 31.2 percent of first-place votes, surpassing his closest challenger, City Attorney Dennis Herrera, who won 8.1 percent. Supervisor John Avalos finished third, with 7.4 percent of first-place votes.

At baycitizen.org, the poll results power a computer simulation that shows how the election may unfold under “ranked-choice voting.” This is the first competitive San Francisco mayor’s race to use the system that asks voters to select their top three candidates in order of preference.

The Bay Citizen simulation allows readers to view how votes are redistributed after candidates are eliminated. It projects Lee the winner if the election were held today.

On Tuesday, October 18 The Bay Citizen and the University of San Francisco will release poll results on the San Francisco District Attorney’s race, the Sheriff’s race, and Propositions C and D, the two pension reform measures on the ballot.

For more information and deeper analysis of the Bay Citizen/USF poll please visit: www.baycitizen.org/data/polls/sf-2011-elections/

The poll results are based on telephone interviews of a random sample of 551 likely San Francisco voters between Oct. 7 and Oct. 13, 2011. The survey was conducted by MAXimum Research, an independent research firm, in English and Cantonese; Spanish was not used because only 1 percent of San Francisco voters request ballot materials in Spanish. Of the respondents, 115 were contacted by cell phone and 436 by landline. After the interviews, the data were weighted to match the demographics of the known likely voting population. The sampling error for findings based on the overall pool of likely voters is +/- 4.2 percentage points at a 95 percent confidence level. The margin of error for population subgroups is larger.

About The Bay Citizen

The Bay Citizen is a nonprofit, nonpartisan member-supported news organization that provides in-depth original reporting on Bay Area issues including public policy, education, the arts and cultural affairs, health and science, the environment, and more. The Bay Citizen’s news can be found online at www.baycitizen.org as well as in print in The New York Times Bay Area report on Fridays and Sundays. For more information, please visit www.baycitizen.org.

About the University of San Francisco (USF)

The University of San Francisco is in the heart of one of the most innovative and diverse cities and features a vibrant community of students and faculty who achieve excellence in their fields while building a more humane and just world. University of San Francisco students, faculty, and alumni are involved in the entrepreneurial city of San Francisco and work in all industries, from technology to nonprofits. With dedicated professors and exceptional academic programs to choose from, the university offers undergraduate, graduate, and professional students the knowledge and skills needed to develop into ethical leaders who are sought after in their professions. USF’s diverse student body benefits from direct access to faculty, small class sizes, and a broad array of programs and co-curricular opportunities. Informed by the university’s 156-year-old Jesuit Catholic mission, the USF community ignites students’ passion for social justice and the pursuit of the common good. For more information about the University of San Francisco, please visit www.usfca.edu.

About USF Leo T. McCarthy Center for Public Service and the Common Good

The Leo T. McCarthy Center for Public Service and the Common Good is dedicated to inspiring and equipping students at USF to pursue lives and careers of ethical public service and service to others. The Center provides a non-partisan forum for education, service and research in public programs and policy-making. The McCarthy Center values civic engagement and seeks to promote public interest research that encourages civil discourse and constructive interaction among the great diversity of residents and officials in the Bay Area. The Center strives to accomplish its goals by being transparent, nonpartisan and rigorous in designing its work and products. For more information please visit www.usfca.edu/centers/mccarthy

Contacts: The Bay Citizen, Keith Meyer, VP Marketing, media@baycitizen.org

SOURCE The Bay Citizen

CONTACT: Keith Meyer, VP Marketing of The Bay Citizen, +1-415-852-5100, media@baycitizen.org

Web Site: http://www.baycitizen.org”

*The uncredited instigator of this recent bit here in the San Francisco Chronicle

Presenting the “Don’t Vote 4 Ed Lee” Buick – RCV and the Mayor’s Race

Thursday, October 13th, 2011

What needs to happen for the 16-year Willie Brown administration to end is to have three name-brand challengers get together and say:

“Vote for us three and not for Ed Lee” 

Thusly:

As seen in front of SFMTA “Customer Service” – via DavidCruiseSF- click to expand

Otherwise, you’re not even trying…

Mayor’s Race: Who’s Doing Lots of Political Polling in San Francisco Using the Phone Number 1 – (000) 000-0000?

Wednesday, October 5th, 2011

Just asking.

Well, right now I’m just asking.

Click to expand

Later on, after I find out, I’ll take remedial measures.

Just saying.

Who’s That Chick That’s Rocking Kicks? She’s Gotta Be From Out of Town – The Race for District Attorney

Wednesday, September 28th, 2011

Can I tell you what we need to see now (like right now, and not some time later) in the District Attorney’s race? We need to see ads from George Gascon‘s Big Three challengers that look something like this:

X Sharmin Bock

X Bill Fazio 

David Onek 

See how that works? What you all need to say, in so many words, is, “Vote for me and the other two but don’t vote for incumbent George Gascon.”*

And who cares what order the names are listed in? Just list your own name first in your own ads and let identity politics take care of things – so, lots of women for Sharmin, libs for David and most of the rest for Bill. Howzat?

It’s simple game theory, people! Are you happy to fight for second place (and merely be the Best of the Rest) or do you want to have a chance of actually winning?

Instead of that kind of thing, what we’re getting is less-ambitious coordinated actions, like this one yesterday on the steps of City Hall:  

Click to expand

Seems kind of weak to attack the District Attorney’s right to appeal a ruling, especially on an issue that could be a close call, one that the DA has a chance to win. Eventually, we’ll find out every last detail about this issue, but that might come after the election. Oh well.

Now, let’s see here, wasn’t it Sharmin Bock who went to George and said give me a job or I’ll run against you? Something like that. And what else, oh, was there some deal with Sharmin working in Alameda County, maybe in the southern part, ’round about Hayward, where maybe some high level city officials weren’t too pleased with how some witness(es) in some sex crime(s) case(s) were, uh, what’s the word** here, uh, managed? Handled? Prepared? Something like that.

Anyway, by the time I made it over to City Hall yesterday, things were winding down and straight-outta-the-510*** George Gascon Spokesperson Maggie Muir started to dominate the dojo.

See?

So both sides said exactly what you’d have expected them to say. We’re going to need to see more facts to discover who’s in the right.

*Otherwise, it’s game over man, game over.

**Robotic cockpit voice: “Danger, danger, possibly defamatory. Pull up, pull up!”

***George! Repetid después de mi: “I AM A DEMOCRAT, NOT A REPUBLICAN [ANYMORE]. I LIVE AND WORK IN SAN FRANCISCO, NOT ANYWHERE ELSE [ANYMORE].” Repeat as necessary. You couldn’t find a San Franciscan to spin for you? Was Maggie selected by Willie or Rose? Mmmmm… 

Like “Who’s that chick that’s rockin’ kicks
She’s gotta be from out of town

If the San Francisco Mayor Race is Like an Episode of Survivor (and, Of Course, It Is), Here are the Alliances So Far

Thursday, August 18th, 2011

This year’s election for Mayor has everything to do with Ranked Choice Voting (RCV). That means it’ll be just like an episode of Survivor.

So here are the alliances, so far.

1. Former Supervisor BevanCan I be you number two?” Dufty and “Interim” Mayor Ed Lee. (The Gasian Alliance.)

2. City Attorney Dennis Herrera and Supervisor John Avalos. (The DCCC Alliance.)

See? It’s a lovefest:

Who will join these tribes?

Who will form their own tribes?

Stay tuned.